Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 3.733092 3.978363 4.240964 4.544692 4.888443 5.268011 5.722482
2024-10-06 3.474501 3.813157 4.195538 4.665032 5.234329 5.913950 6.805678
2024-10-13 3.182734 3.569025 4.022909 4.606863 5.356265 6.313824 7.682575
2024-10-20 2.931691 3.345482 3.847914 4.520666 5.428757 6.665456 8.591849
2024-10-27 2.698116 3.121838 3.650073 4.381107 5.411512 6.897431 9.410741
2024-11-03 2.610280 3.072336 3.667724 4.527597 5.812161 7.820937 11.676123
2024-11-10 2.550962 3.053818 3.723692 4.735059 6.344788 9.111119 15.367861
2024-11-17 2.411846 2.918064 3.606792 4.677203 6.455878 9.728088 18.179547
2024-11-24 2.275540 2.776493 3.469709 4.573013 6.474289 10.189842 21.117762
2024-12-01 2.164181 2.662070 3.362426 4.503474 6.543508 10.793627 25.361607
2024-12-08 2.071066 2.567324 3.276497 4.458743 6.652399 11.543081 31.697586
2024-12-15 2.011241 2.516085 3.251242 4.511518 6.961498 12.939075 45.976822
2024-12-22 1.913722 2.413831 3.154620 4.457767 7.106525 14.193708 72.025181
2024-12-29 1.855509 2.365748 3.138814 4.547189 7.595588 16.996096 227.041790
2025-01-05 1.768528 2.269322 3.038425 4.469955 7.694979 18.673318 2280.946228
2025-01-12 1.685300 2.173929 2.932805 4.370969 7.724814 20.236978 NaN
2025-01-19 1.600925 2.072416 2.810250 4.225880 7.607928 21.113695 NaN
2025-01-26 1.570733 2.052826 2.822938 4.351678 8.265226 27.666911 NaN
2025-02-02 1.550680 2.047681 2.859715 4.534707 9.190563 40.808414 NaN
2025-02-09 1.495024 1.982609 2.786751 4.472654 9.332887 48.372231 NaN
2025-02-16 1.437781 1.912242 2.699778 4.369556 9.309323 54.658588 NaN
2025-02-23 1.389378 1.854021 2.630967 4.299934 9.390723 65.249004 NaN
2025-03-02 1.347648 1.804793 2.575323 4.254304 9.554241 83.044184 NaN